Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Serramonte Eviction Risk: Elevated , Daly City
Tract 06081601604 ·
San Mateo, CA · pop 2,431 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Tract 06081601604 sits in the Serramonte area of Daly City, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. It is home to 2,431 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%Stable renters 16%Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,123
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$123,316
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#5 of 5 tracts In Serramonte
Very Low
Within parent city
15th percentile
#18 of 21 tracts In Daly City
Very Low
Within county
19th percentile
#141 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Very Low
Within state
28th percentile
#6,559 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Daly City and the region
Centroid at 37.6695, -122.4691 · click any tract to drill in
Why Serramonte scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Daly City
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,706 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Daly City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Daly City
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Daly City
5.2
How Serramonte compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
8%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Serramonte. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.4%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
10.3%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
12.6%Frequent mental distress
20.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Serramonte
56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the San Mateo County average of 44.9%. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10.
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.1/10.
Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the San Mateo County average of 7.0. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081601604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081601604?
Census tract 06081601604 in the Serramonte neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081601604?
Median gross rent is $2,706/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081601604?
1.2% of residents in tract 06081601604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,431.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081601604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 6th, minority 85th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 06081601604 considered part of Serramonte?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081601604 fall within Serramonte (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081601604 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081601604 compare to Daly City overall?
Tract 06081601604 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Daly City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Daly City
Top eight tracts in Daly City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.