Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Serramonte Eviction Risk: Elevated , Daly City
Tract 06081601700 ·
San Mateo, CA · pop 4,561 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 06081601700 covers part of the Serramonte area of South San Francisco, CA, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. 21% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the San Mateo County average of 44.9%.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 9%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,354
Renter share11.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$179,737
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#3 of 5 tracts In Serramonte
Moderate
Within parent city
46th percentile
#8 of 14 tracts In Daly City
Moderate
Within county
37th percentile
#109 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Low
Within state
39th percentile
#5,582 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Daly City and the region
Centroid at 37.6627, -122.4561 · click any tract to drill in
Why Serramonte scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Daly City
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$3,006 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Daly City
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Daly City
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Daly City
5.3
How Serramonte compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
7%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Serramonte. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.7%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
13.8%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
7.9%No health insurance
13.4%Frequent mental distress
26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Serramonte
Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.1/10.
10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $3,006, close to the South San Francisco average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $179,737.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081601700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081601700?
Census tract 06081601700 in the Serramonte neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081601700?
Median gross rent is $3,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081601700?
6.2% of residents in tract 06081601700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,561.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081601700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 74th, minority 80th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 06081601700 considered part of Serramonte?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081601700 fall within Serramonte (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081601700 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081601700 compare to Daly City overall?
Tract 06081601700 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Daly City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Daly City
Top eight tracts in Daly City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.