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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Emerald Lake Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06081609603 · San Mateo, CA · pop 4,757 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 06081609603 in the Emerald Lake Hills area of San Carlos, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 29% here against 44.9% across San Mateo County.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 11% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,746
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Emerald Lake Hills
Very High
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Emerald Lake Hills
Elevated
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#152 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Very Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#6,893 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Emerald Lake Hills and the region

Centroid at 37.4815, -122.2816 · click any tract to drill in

Why Emerald Lake Hills scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Emerald Lake Hills
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Emerald Lake Hills
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Emerald Lake Hills
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Emerald Lake Hills
3.4

How Emerald Lake Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Emerald Lake Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 6096034.6Emerald Lake Hillsparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Emerald Lake Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Emerald Lake Hills

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.1/10.

At $3,501 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of San Carlos commands. Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally. Against the San Mateo County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081609603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081609603?

Census tract 06081609603 in the Emerald Lake Hills neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06081609603?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081609603?

4.6% of residents in tract 06081609603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,757.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081609603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 15th, minority 44th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 06081609603 considered part of Emerald Lake Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081609603 fall within Emerald Lake Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06081609603 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06081609603 compare to Emerald Lake Hills overall?

Tract 06081609603 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Emerald Lake Hills at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Emerald Lake Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Emerald Lake Hills

Top eight tracts in Emerald Lake Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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