Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Las Positas Eviction Risk: Moderate , Eastern Goleta Valley
Tract 06083003005 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 4,704 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 06083003005 sits in the Las Positas area of Eastern Goleta Valley, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 4,704 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 1.8/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,451
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$128,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eastern Goleta Valley and the region
Centroid at 34.4367, -119.7841 · click any tract to drill in
Why Las Positas scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,576 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley
4.9
How Las Positas compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Las Positas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Las Positas
21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Against Santa Barbara County at 51.2%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Average gross rent is $2,576, 13% below the Eastern Goleta Valley average. On the high side, local political climate reads 6.9/10.
That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $128,808.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06083003005
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083003005?
Census tract 06083003005 in the Las Positas neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06083003005?
Median gross rent is $2,576/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06083003005?
9.7% of residents in tract 06083003005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,704.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06083003005?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 61th, minority 66th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 06083003005 considered part of Las Positas?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06083003005 fall within Las Positas (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06083003005 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06083003005 compare to Eastern Goleta Valley overall?
Tract 06083003005 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Eastern Goleta Valley at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Eastern Goleta Valley
Top eight tracts in Eastern Goleta Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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