Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Eastern Goleta Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06083002907 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 4,039 · 59% of tract blocks fall in Eastern Goleta Valley
With a score of 5/10, tract 06083002907 in Eastern Goleta Valley, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,039. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Santa Barbara County average of 51.2%.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,391
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$187,560
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eastern Goleta Valley and the region
Centroid at 34.4843, -119.8506 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastern Goleta Valley scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,355 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley
4.9
How Eastern Goleta Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 12.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastern Goleta Valley
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10. Against the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 5.4% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $3,355, 13% above the Eastern Goleta Valley average.
Running hot, local political climate reads 6.9/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06083002907
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083002907?
Census tract 06083002907 in Eastern Goleta Valley scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06083002907?
Median gross rent is $3,355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06083002907?
4.7% of residents in tract 06083002907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,039.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06083002907?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 35th, minority 42th, housing 31th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06083002907 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06083002907 compare to Eastern Goleta Valley overall?
Tract 06083002907 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Eastern Goleta Valley at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Eastern Goleta Valley
Top eight tracts in Eastern Goleta Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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