Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Eastern Goleta Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06083002913 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 4,193 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Eastern Goleta Valley

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 06083002913 in Eastern Goleta Valley, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,193. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 8% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units1,580

Renter share33.0%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate8.4%

Median income$122,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Eastern Goleta Valley and the region

Centroid at 34.4466, -119.8068 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastern Goleta Valley scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley

6.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.4% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$3,352 rent vs county FMR

6.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley

5.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley

5.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley

4.9

How Eastern Goleta Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

19%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
48%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.4%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
5.5%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
31.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastern Goleta Valley

75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Santa Barbara County average of 51.2%. The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.8/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $122,500, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. At $3,352 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Eastern Goleta Valley commands.

Running hot, local political climate reads 6.9/10. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06083002913

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083002913?

Census tract 06083002913 in Eastern Goleta Valley scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06083002913?

Median gross rent is $3,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06083002913?

8.4% of residents in tract 06083002913 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,193.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06083002913?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 91th, minority 48th, housing 82th.

What share of households in tract 06083002913 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06083002913 compare to Eastern Goleta Valley overall?

Tract 06083002913 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Eastern Goleta Valley at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eastern Goleta Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Eastern Goleta Valley

Top eight tracts in Eastern Goleta Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.