Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
East Morrissey Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 06087121300 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,248 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
In the East Morrissey area of Santa Cruz, census tract 06087121300 scores 3.2/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 27th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,480 a month while the average household earns $133,000 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,516
Renter share40.2%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$133,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
10
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region
Centroid at 36.9968, -121.9776 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Morrissey scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,480 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How East Morrissey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by California eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121300?
Census tract 06087121300 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121300?
Median gross rent is $2,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121300?
5.3% of residents in tract 06087121300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,248.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 36th, minority 51th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121300 considered part of East Morrissey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121300 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121300 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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