Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

East Morrissey Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Cruz

Tract 06087100900 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,921 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 06087100900 covers part of the East Morrissey area of Santa Cruz, CA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,921 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 39% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,970

Renter share66.9%

SVI overall0.35

Poverty rate8.1%

Median income$119,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region

Centroid at 36.9694, -122.0047 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Morrissey scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Cruz

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.1% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$2,535 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Cruz

9.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.5

How East Morrissey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

24%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.3%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
24.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Santa Cruz County at 48.5%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Food insecurity runs 7.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,535, close to the Santa Cruz average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $119,875.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087100900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087100900?

Census tract 06087100900 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087100900?

Median gross rent is $2,535/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087100900?

8.1% of residents in tract 06087100900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,921.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087100900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 13th, minority 38th, housing 79th.

Is tract 06087100900 considered part of East Morrissey?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087100900 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087100900 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087100900 compare to Santa Cruz overall?

Tract 06087100900 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Cruz at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Cruz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Cruz

Top eight tracts in Santa Cruz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.