Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
East Morrissey Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06087121401 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 2,967 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 06087121401 sits in the East Morrissey area of Santa Cruz County, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. Against Santa Cruz County at 48.5%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,008
Renter share42.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$91,915
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region
Centroid at 36.9821, -121.9870 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Morrissey scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$2,357 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How East Morrissey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.9%Food insecurity
- 15.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8/10. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8 closely.
Average gross rent runs $2,357 a month. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $91,915. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121401?
Census tract 06087121401 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121401?
Median gross rent is $2,357/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121401?
14.9% of residents in tract 06087121401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,967.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 69th, minority 58th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121401 considered part of East Morrissey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121401 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121401 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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