Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
East Morrissey Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06087121401 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 2,967 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 06087121401 belongs to East Morrissey in Santa Cruz, California. It is home to 2,967 residents and scores 5.2/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #44,526 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 64% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,357 a month while the average household earns $91,915 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,008
Renter share42.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$91,915
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region
Centroid at 36.9821, -121.9870 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Morrissey scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$2,357 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How East Morrissey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.9%Food insecurity
- 15.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by California eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121401?
Census tract 06087121401 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121401?
Median gross rent is $2,357/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121401?
14.9% of residents in tract 06087121401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,967.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 69th, minority 58th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121401 considered part of East Morrissey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121401 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121401 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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