Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
East Morrissey Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06087121402 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,626 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 06087121402 sits in the East Morrissey area of Santa Cruz County, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7/10. Population here is 4,626. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,658
Renter share52.1%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$102,143
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region
Centroid at 36.9762, -121.9784 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Morrissey scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$2,149 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How East Morrissey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 48.5% across Santa Cruz County. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8 closely. Average gross rent runs $2,149 a month.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $102,143. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121402?
Census tract 06087121402 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121402?
Median gross rent is $2,149/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121402?
19.3% of residents in tract 06087121402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,626.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 65th, minority 65th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121402 considered part of East Morrissey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121402 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121402 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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