Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
East Morrissey Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06087121403 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,192 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
How risky is East Morrissey in Santa Cruz for landlords? Census tract 06087121403 scores $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 40% of US census tracts.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,826 a month against an average household income of $90,147 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,396
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$90,147
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region
Centroid at 36.9735, -121.9914 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Morrissey scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$2,826 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How East Morrissey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by California eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121403?
Census tract 06087121403 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121403?
Median gross rent is $2,826/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121403?
12.6% of residents in tract 06087121403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,192.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 67th, minority 49th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121403 considered part of East Morrissey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121403 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121403 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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