Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
East Morrissey Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06087121300 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,248 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 06087121300 covers part of the East Morrissey area of Santa Cruz County, CA, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,248. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,516
Renter share40.2%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$133,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region
Centroid at 36.9968, -121.9776 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Morrissey scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,480 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How East Morrissey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey
Against the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.1 points. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Cost burden runs 40% here against 48.5% across Santa Cruz County. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,480 a month.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $133,000.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121300?
Census tract 06087121300 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121300?
Median gross rent is $2,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121300?
5.3% of residents in tract 06087121300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,248.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 36th, minority 51th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121300 considered part of East Morrissey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121300 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121300 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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