Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
East Morrissey Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06087121402 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,626 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 06087121402 covers East Morrissey in Santa Cruz, home to 4,626 residents. For landlords it grades 5.3/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,149 a month against an average household income of $102,143 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,658
Renter share52.1%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$102,143
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region
Centroid at 36.9762, -121.9784 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Morrissey scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$2,149 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How East Morrissey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by California eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121402?
Census tract 06087121402 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121402?
Median gross rent is $2,149/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121402?
19.3% of residents in tract 06087121402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,626.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 65th, minority 65th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121402 considered part of East Morrissey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121402 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121402 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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