Simi Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. The voucher gap is 24.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. At $3,188 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Simi Valley commands.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.4/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Ventura County average of 6.9.

That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $128,571. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.