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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Aurora Hills Golf Course Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 08005007703 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 5,201 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 08005007703 sits in the Aurora Hills Golf Course area of Aurora eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. Population here is 5,201. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 23% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,750
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$70,953

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Aurora Hills Golf Course
Very High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 90 tracts In Aurora
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 161 tracts In Arapahoe County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#287 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.7203, -104.8578 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aurora Hills Golf Course scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,568 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0

How Aurora Hills Golf Course compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aurora Hills Golf Course risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 007703Aurora: 4.64.6Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 846Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.3%Peak (2012)
  • 153Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 080050077032010: 182 filings (21.06/100 renter HHs)2011: 155 filings (18.09/100 renter HHs)2012: 225 filings (26.25/100 renter HHs)2016: 131 filings (15.29/100 renter HHs)2017: 153 filings (17.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aurora Hills Golf Course. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aurora Hills Golf Course

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Arapahoe County average of 50.1%. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.3 points above the Arapahoe County average of 4.7.

Court records carry 846 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,568, 15% below the Aurora average.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2012, when 26.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 19.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08005007703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005007703?

Census tract 08005007703 in the Aurora Hills Golf Course neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08005007703?

Median gross rent is $1,568/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08005007703?

24.1% of residents in tract 08005007703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,201.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08005007703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 63th, minority 79th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 08005007703 considered part of Aurora Hills Golf Course?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08005007703 fall within Aurora Hills Golf Course (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08005007703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 846 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08005007703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.71% of renter households, peaking at 26.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08005007703 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08005007703 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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