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Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Aurora Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 08001007900 · Adams County, CO · pop 6,126

Census tract 08001007900 covers part of Aurora, CO, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 29% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,264
Renter share55.7%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$67,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 90 tracts In Aurora
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 107 tracts In Adams County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#287 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.7483, -104.8735 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aurora scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,547 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0

How Aurora compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aurora risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 007900Aurora: 4.64.6Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 810Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.8%Peak (2016)
  • 163Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 080010079002001: 119 filings (9.82/100 renter HHs)2004: 147 filings (12.13/100 renter HHs)2006: 190 filings (14.56/100 renter HHs)2016: 191 filings (15.77/100 renter HHs)2017: 163 filings (13.46/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 37% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aurora

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.2% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Adams County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

At $1,547 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Aurora commands. The filing record is not thin: 810 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 15.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 13.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08001007900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08001007900?

Census tract 08001007900 in Aurora scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08001007900?

Median gross rent is $1,547/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08001007900?

18.0% of residents in tract 08001007900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,126.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08001007900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 74th, minority 82th, housing 70th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08001007900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 810 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08001007900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.15% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 08001007900 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08001007900 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 08001007900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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