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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Aurora Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08005007302 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 4,956

Census tract 08005007302 runs through Aurora in Arapahoe County. With 4,956 residents, it scores 6.6/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #9,183 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,317 a month against an average household income of $41,667 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 80% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 36% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,740
Renter share79.9%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$41,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 90 tracts In Aurora
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 161 tracts In Arapahoe County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.7384, -104.8654 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aurora scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,317 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0

How Aurora compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aurora risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 007302Aurora: 5.45.4Auroraparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 641Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak (2017)
  • 166Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 080050073022010: 127 filings (8.72/100 renter HHs)2011: 95 filings (6.61/100 renter HHs)2012: 137 filings (9.53/100 renter HHs)2016: 116 filings (8.09/100 renter HHs)2017: 166 filings (11.58/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 31% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aurora

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Arapahoe County average of 6.3 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 20% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 08005007302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005007302?

Census tract 08005007302 in Aurora scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08005007302?

Median gross rent is $1,317/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08005007302?

20.2% of residents in tract 08005007302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,956.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08005007302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 96th, minority 90th, housing 99th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08005007302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 641 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08005007302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.91% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 08005007302 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08005007302 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Aurora at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 08005007302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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