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Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Aurora Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 08005007201 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 3,670

08005007201 is a census tract in Aurora, CO. It scores 6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,670 residents. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 23% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,287
Renter share61.1%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$54,508

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 90 tracts In Aurora
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 161 tracts In Arapahoe County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#287 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.7218, -104.8694 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aurora scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,233 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0

How Aurora compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aurora risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 007201Aurora: 4.64.6Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 874Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 21.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.0%Peak (2012)
  • 162Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 080050072012010: 155 filings (20.56/100 renter HHs)2011: 167 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 200 filings (23.95/100 renter HHs)2016: 190 filings (21.91/100 renter HHs)2017: 162 filings (18.69/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aurora

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Against Arapahoe County at 50.1%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. At $1,233 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Aurora commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.7% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 1.3 points above the Arapahoe County average of 4.7. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 874 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 24.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 21.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $54,508.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08005007201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005007201?

Census tract 08005007201 in Aurora scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08005007201?

Median gross rent is $1,233/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08005007201?

20.3% of residents in tract 08005007201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,670.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08005007201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 77th, minority 79th, housing 94th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08005007201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 874 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08005007201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.02% of renter households, peaking at 24.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 08005007201 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08005007201 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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