Within neighborhood
71
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
South Park Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Denver
Tract 08031004403 · Denver County, CO · pop 3,965 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
08031004403 is a census tract in the South Park Hill area of Denver, CO. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,034
Renter share57.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$85,336
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denver and the region
Centroid at 39.7444, -104.8948 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Park Hill scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denver
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,738 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denver
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denver
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denver
7.5
How South Park Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 78%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 507Total filings over 8 yrs
- 6.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2009)
- 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Park Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Park Hill
Cost burden runs 57% here against 45.4% across Denver County. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 507 filings here across 8 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 9.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Denver County average of 6.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,738, close to the Denver average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08031004403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08031004403?
Census tract 08031004403 in the South Park Hill neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08031004403?
Median gross rent is $1,738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08031004403?
6.5% of residents in tract 08031004403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,965.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08031004403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 17th, minority 69th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 08031004403 considered part of South Park Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08031004403 fall within South Park Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08031004403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 507 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 08031004403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.52% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08031004403 compare to Denver overall?
Tract 08031004403 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Denver at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 08031004403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denver
Top eight tracts in Denver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
City Park West
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · CO
Westwood
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · CO
Valverde
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · CO
Westwood
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · CO
Hughes Mountainview
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · CO
Little Saigon
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · CO
Mariposa District
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · CO
Mar Lee
8.2
/ 10 · High
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