Villa Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 828 across 2 observed tracts. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.5/10.

At $1,615 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Denver commands. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 14.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.1% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 75 mapped neighborhoods of Denver, it ranks #13 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Enterprise Hill Historic District and Clayton score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 7.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.