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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

Villa Park Eviction Risk: High , Denver

Tract 08031000904 · Denver County, CO · pop 4,928 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

08031000904 is a census tract in the Villa Park area of Denver, CO. It scores 8.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,928. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 25% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,753
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$47,933

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Villa Park
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 178 tracts In Denver
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 178 tracts In Denver County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denver and the region

Centroid at 39.7305, -105.0467 · click any tract to drill in

Why Villa Park scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denver
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,343 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denver
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denver
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denver
7.5

How Villa Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Villa Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.2This tracttract 0009046.8Denverparent city6.7Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 656Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 7.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.7%Peak (2009)
  • 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 08031000904
Filings dropped 77% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Villa Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Villa Park

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.9% against 11.3% nationally. Against Denver County at 45.4%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $47,933, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,343, 27% below the Denver average. It sits 1.5 points above the Denver County average of 6.7.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 656 evictions over 8 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 14.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 08031000904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08031000904?

Census tract 08031000904 in the Villa Park neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08031000904?

Median gross rent is $1,343/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08031000904?

25.6% of residents in tract 08031000904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,928.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08031000904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 86th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 08031000904 considered part of Villa Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08031000904 fall within Villa Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08031000904?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 656 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 08031000904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.07% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08031000904 compare to Denver overall?

Tract 08031000904 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denver at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 08031000904 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denver

Top eight tracts in Denver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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