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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Villa Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Denver

Tract 08031000904 · Denver County, CO · pop 4,928 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

In the Villa Park area of Denver, census tract 08031000904 scores 7.3/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 98% of US census tracts.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,343 monthly, set against $47,933 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 25% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,753
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$47,933

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Villa Park
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 178 tracts In Denver
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 178 tracts In Denver County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denver and the region

Centroid at 39.7305, -105.0467 · click any tract to drill in

Why Villa Park scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denver
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,343 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denver
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denver
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denver
7.5

How Villa Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Villa Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 000904Denver: 5.75.7Denverparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 656Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 7.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.7%Peak (2009)
  • 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 080310009042009: 151 filings (14.67/100 renter HHs)2010: 150 filings (12.89/100 renter HHs)2011: 114 filings (9.27/100 renter HHs)2012: 54 filings (4.39/100 renter HHs)2013: 50 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)2014: 51 filings (4.15/100 renter HHs)2015: 51 filings (4.15/100 renter HHs)2016: 35 filings (2.94/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 77% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Villa Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Villa Park

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denver eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denver County average of 6.7 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 656 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 7.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.7% of renter households in 2009.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 22% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 08031000904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08031000904?

Census tract 08031000904 in the Villa Park neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08031000904?

Median gross rent is $1,343/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08031000904?

25.6% of residents in tract 08031000904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,928.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08031000904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 86th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 08031000904 considered part of Villa Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08031000904 fall within Villa Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08031000904?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 656 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 08031000904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.07% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08031000904 compare to Denver overall?

Tract 08031000904 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Denver at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 08031000904 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denver

Top eight tracts in Denver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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