Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Castle Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 08035014127 · Douglas County, CO · pop 5,250 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Castle Pines
08035014127 is a census tract in Castle Pines, CO. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,250 residents. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,890
Renter share7.5%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$198,154
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Castle Pines and the region
Centroid at 39.4815, -104.9092 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castle Pines scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Castle Pines
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Pines
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Pines
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Pines
6.2
How Castle Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 11.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.5%Peak (2010)
- 10Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castle Pines
At $3,501 a month, rents run 58% over what the rest of Castle Pines commands. The voucher gap is 63.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.3/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Against Douglas County at 47.3%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 11.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 11.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08035014127
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08035014127?
Census tract 08035014127 in Castle Pines scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08035014127?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08035014127?
2.4% of residents in tract 08035014127 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,250.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08035014127?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 31th, minority 22th, housing 17th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08035014127?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08035014127 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.49% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 08035014127 compare to Castle Pines overall?
Tract 08035014127 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Castle Pines at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Pines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Castle Pines
Top eight tracts in Castle Pines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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