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Neighborhood · Castle Rock, CO

Crystal Valley Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,200 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Crystal Valley Ranch maps to a single census tract in Castle Rock, CO, population 6,200. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.9/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 76% against 35.6% citywide, putting Crystal Valley Ranch 40.0% over its own city.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 121 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 12.0% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 8.0% in 2017 against a 12.0% peak. Average gross rent is $1,869, 7% below the Castle Rock average of $2,000.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Castle Rock, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Happy Canyon and Silver Heights. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $112,132. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Crystal Valley Ranch vs Castle Rock How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
75.6% +112%
Castle Rock: 35.6%
Average gross rent
$1,869 -7%
Castle Rock: $2,000
Average HH income
$112,132 -22%
Castle Rock: $143,031
Poverty rate
5.4% +44%
Castle Rock: 3.8%
Renter share
36.6% +72%
Castle Rock: 21.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crystal Valley Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Crystal Valley Ranch scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Rent control risk
76% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Crystal Valley Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Crystal Valley Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Crystal Valley RanNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city5.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Crystal Valley Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
08035014505 4.9 6,200 76% $1,869
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Crystal Valley Ranch

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 121Total filings (sum)
  • 10.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak year (2010)
  • 8.02%Latest filed (2017)
Frequently asked

About Crystal Valley Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Crystal Valley Ranch?

Crystal Valley Ranch scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Crystal Valley Ranch compare to Castle Rock overall?

Crystal Valley Ranch scores 0.5 points higher than Castle Rock overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 76% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,869 vs $2,000.
Q3

What is the average rent in Crystal Valley Ranch?

Average gross rent in Crystal Valley Ranch is $1,869/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Crystal Valley Ranch residents are renters?

37% of Crystal Valley Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Castle Rock). The neighborhood has 6,200 residents.
Q5

Is Crystal Valley Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Crystal Valley Ranch sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Crystal Valley Ranch for landlords?

Crystal Valley Ranch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Castle Rock as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Crystal Valley Ranch?

Crystal Valley Ranch has 6,182 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.5%), Hispanic / Latino (9.3%), Other / Multiracial (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Crystal Valley Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Castle Rock

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Crystal Valley Ranch.

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