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Neighborhood · Castle Rock, CO

Happy Canyon Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,256 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Happy Canyon is a one-tract neighborhood of Castle Rock, CO, population 4,256. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Cost burden runs 44% against 35.6% citywide, putting Happy Canyon 8.2% over its own city.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Court records for this tract carry 281 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 29.1% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 14.4% in 2017, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $1,844, 8% below the Castle Rock average of $2,000.

That places it #2 of 4 neighborhoods in Castle Rock. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Happy Canyon vs Castle Rock How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.8% +23%
Castle Rock: 35.6%
Average gross rent
$1,844 -8%
Castle Rock: $2,000
Average HH income
$117,958 -18%
Castle Rock: $143,031
Poverty rate
4.9% +31%
Castle Rock: 3.8%
Renter share
48.2% +127%
Castle Rock: 21.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Happy Canyon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Happy Canyon scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
4.9% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Happy Canyon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Happy Canyon score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Happy CanyonNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city5.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Happy Canyon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
08035014123 4.7 4,256 44% $1,844
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Happy Canyon

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 281Total filings (sum)
  • 21.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.1%Peak year (2010)
  • 14.40%Latest filed (2017)
Frequently asked

About Happy Canyon

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Happy Canyon?

Happy Canyon scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Happy Canyon compare to Castle Rock overall?

Happy Canyon scores 0.3 points higher than Castle Rock overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,844 vs $2,000.
Q3

What is the average rent in Happy Canyon?

Average gross rent in Happy Canyon is $1,844/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Happy Canyon residents are renters?

48% of Happy Canyon households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Castle Rock). The neighborhood has 4,256 residents.
Q5

Is Happy Canyon a high social-vulnerability area?

Happy Canyon sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Happy Canyon for landlords?

Happy Canyon carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Castle Rock as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Happy Canyon?

Happy Canyon has 4,437 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.9%), Hispanic / Latino (17.4%), Other / Multiracial (9.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Happy Canyon

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Castle Rock

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Happy Canyon.

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