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Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Dover Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 10001041802 · Kent County, DE · pop 6,847 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Dover

In Dover, census tract 10001041802 scores 5.4/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 54th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

76% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,536 a month against an average household income of $60,649 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 13% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,490
Renter share52.7%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$60,649

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 13 tracts In Dover
Very Low
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 41 tracts In Kent County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Elevated
National
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#35,899 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Centroid at 39.1375, -75.6032 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dover scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,536 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
3.5

How Dover compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dover risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 041802Dover: 4.54.5Doverparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 358Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 8.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2017)
  • 43Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100010418022010: 17 filings (3.71/100 renter HHs)2011: 32 filings (8.72/100 renter HHs)2012: 40 filings (10.90/100 renter HHs)2013: 47 filings (12.81/100 renter HHs)2014: 45 filings (12.26/100 renter HHs)2015: 44 filings (11.99/100 renter HHs)2016: 35 filings (4.79/100 renter HHs)2017: 55 filings (7.53/100 renter HHs)2018: 43 filings (5.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 153% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dover

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dover eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kent County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10001041802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001041802?

Census tract 10001041802 in Dover scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10001041802?

Median gross rent is $1,536/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10001041802?

3.2% of residents in tract 10001041802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,847.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10001041802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 71th, minority 62th, housing 82th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001041802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 358 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001041802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.73% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 10001041802 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 10001041802 compare to Dover overall?

Tract 10001041802 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Dover at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dover

Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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