Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Grand Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dover
Tract 10001041200 · Kent County, DE · pop 3,809 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 4/10, tract 10001041200 in the Grand Oaks area of Dover, DE reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,691
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$75,266
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 39.1270, -75.5018 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grand Oaks scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,195 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
3.5
How Grand Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,818Total filings over 9 yrs
- 44.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 62.3%Peak (2012)
- 165Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grand Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 34.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grand Oaks
Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10. Court records carry 1,818 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,195, 11% below the Dover average. The worst year on record was 2012, when 62.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 44.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10001041200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001041200?
Census tract 10001041200 in the Grand Oaks neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10001041200?
Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10001041200?
11.3% of residents in tract 10001041200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,809.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10001041200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 94th, minority 78th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 10001041200 considered part of Grand Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10001041200 fall within Grand Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001041200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,818 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001041200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 44.81% of renter households, peaking at 62.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10001041200 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10001041200 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 10001041200 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Dover at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
Woodcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Fairview
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Capitol Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Sherwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Mayfair
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Dupont Manor
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Oak Grove
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Voshell Cove
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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