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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Capitol Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dover

Tract 10001041300 · Kent County, DE · pop 2,135 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the Capitol Green area of Dover, census tract 10001041300 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. That is riskier than about 81% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $967 monthly, set against $37,050 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 29% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units940
Renter share69.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate35.2%
Median income$37,050

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Capitol Green
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 13 tracts In Dover
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 41 tracts In Kent County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Centroid at 39.1532, -75.5202 · click any tract to drill in

Why Capitol Green scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
35.2% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$967 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
3.5

How Capitol Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Capitol Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 041300Dover: 4.54.5Doverparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 800Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 13.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.3%Peak (2016)
  • 84Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100010413002010: 76 filings (12.62/100 renter HHs)2011: 81 filings (12.76/100 renter HHs)2012: 82 filings (12.91/100 renter HHs)2013: 96 filings (15.12/100 renter HHs)2014: 81 filings (12.76/100 renter HHs)2015: 80 filings (12.60/100 renter HHs)2016: 118 filings (18.27/100 renter HHs)2017: 102 filings (15.79/100 renter HHs)2018: 84 filings (13.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Capitol Green

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dover eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kent County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 10001041300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001041300?

Census tract 10001041300 in the Capitol Green neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10001041300?

Median gross rent is $967/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10001041300?

35.2% of residents in tract 10001041300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,135.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10001041300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 97th, minority 66th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 10001041300 considered part of Capitol Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10001041300 fall within Capitol Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001041300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 800 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001041300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.98% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 10001041300 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 10001041300 compare to Dover overall?

Tract 10001041300 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dover

Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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