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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Mayfair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dover

Tract 10001041500 · Kent County, DE · pop 4,491 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

How risky is the Mayfair neighborhood of Dover for landlords? Census tract 10001041500 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,116 a month against an average household income of $57,383 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 13% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,433
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$57,383

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mayfair
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Dover
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 41 tracts In Kent County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 259 tracts In Delaware
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Centroid at 39.1325, -75.5377 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayfair scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,116 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
3.5

How Mayfair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayfair risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 041500Dover: 4.54.5Doverparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,671Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 32.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.9%Peak (2017)
  • 186Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100010415002010: 144 filings (27.69/100 renter HHs)2011: 166 filings (33.40/100 renter HHs)2012: 180 filings (36.22/100 renter HHs)2013: 188 filings (37.83/100 renter HHs)2014: 202 filings (40.64/100 renter HHs)2015: 204 filings (41.05/100 renter HHs)2016: 182 filings (23.18/100 renter HHs)2017: 219 filings (27.90/100 renter HHs)2018: 186 filings (23.69/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayfair

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dover eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kent County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,671 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 32.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.9% of renter households in 2017.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10001041500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001041500?

Census tract 10001041500 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10001041500?

Median gross rent is $1,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10001041500?

19.6% of residents in tract 10001041500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,491.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10001041500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 75th, minority 59th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 10001041500 considered part of Mayfair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10001041500 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001041500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,671 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001041500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.40% of renter households, peaking at 27.9% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 10001041500 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 10001041500 compare to Dover overall?

Tract 10001041500 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dover

Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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