Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Mayfair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dover
Tract 10001041500 · Kent County, DE · pop 4,491 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
10001041500 is a census tract in the Mayfair area of Dover, DE. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,491. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Kent County average of 44.8%.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,433
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$57,383
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 39.1325, -75.5377 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayfair scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,116 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
3.5
How Mayfair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,671Total filings over 9 yrs
- 32.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.9%Peak (2017)
- 186Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.3%Housing insecurity
- 11.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.4%Food insecurity
- 20.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mayfair
The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Against the Kent County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,116, 17% below the Dover average.
The filing record is not thin: 1,671 evictions over 9 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2017, when 27.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 32.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.
Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10001041500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001041500?
Census tract 10001041500 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10001041500?
Median gross rent is $1,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10001041500?
19.6% of residents in tract 10001041500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,491.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10001041500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 75th, minority 59th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 10001041500 considered part of Mayfair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10001041500 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001041500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,671 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001041500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.40% of renter households, peaking at 27.9% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10001041500 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10001041500 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 10001041500 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
Fairview
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Capitol Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Sherwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Woodcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Dupont Manor
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Oak Grove
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Grand Oaks
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Voshell Cove
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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