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Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Smyrna Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 10003016901 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,278 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Smyrna

For landlords sizing up Smyrna, census tract 10003016901 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. That is riskier than about 85% of US census tracts.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,597 a month against an average household income of $95,391 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 5% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units773
Renter share11.4%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$95,391

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Smyrna
Elevated
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#139 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Moderate
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#60,063 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 39.3187, -75.6737 · click any tract to drill in

Why Smyrna scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Smyrna
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,597 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smyrna
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smyrna
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smyrna
5.9

How Smyrna compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Smyrna risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 016901Smyrna: 4.04.0Smyrnaparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 223Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 38.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 52.3%Peak (2010)
  • 15Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030169012010: 45 filings (52.33/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (23.81/100 renter HHs)2012: 44 filings (69.84/100 renter HHs)2013: 29 filings (46.03/100 renter HHs)2014: 41 filings (65.08/100 renter HHs)2015: 22 filings (34.92/100 renter HHs)2016: 7 filings (13.46/100 renter HHs)2017: 5 filings (9.62/100 renter HHs)2018: 15 filings (28.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 55Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 8 filings (32.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Smyrna

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.08x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003016901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016901?

Census tract 10003016901 in Smyrna scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003016901?

Median gross rent is $1,597/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016901?

13.3% of residents in tract 10003016901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,278.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 12th, minority 3th, housing 12th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003016901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 223 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003016901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.22% of renter households, peaking at 52.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 10003016901 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 10003016901 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 10003016901 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 10003016901 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Smyrna at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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