Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Smyrna Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 10001040203 · Kent County, DE · pop 5,415 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Smyrna
10001040203 is a census tract in Smyrna, DE. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,011
Renter share23.6%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$70,377
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Smyrna and the region
Centroid at 39.2859, -75.5508 · click any tract to drill in
Why Smyrna scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Smyrna
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$983 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smyrna
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smyrna
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smyrna
5.9
How Smyrna compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 886Total filings over 9 yrs
- 18.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.2%Peak (2010)
- 83Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 16.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 36.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Smyrna
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. At $983 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Smyrna commands.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Court records carry 886 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Kent County average of 44.8%. The worst year on record was 2010, when 26.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 18.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $70,377, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Kent County average of 4.0 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 10001040203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001040203?
Census tract 10001040203 in Smyrna scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10001040203?
Median gross rent is $983/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10001040203?
14.4% of residents in tract 10001040203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,415.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10001040203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 92th, minority 69th, housing 64th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001040203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 886 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001040203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.20% of renter households, peaking at 26.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 10001040203 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 10001040203 compare to Smyrna overall?
Tract 10001040203 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Smyrna at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna
Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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