Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Smyrna Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016904 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,512 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Smyrna
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 10003016904 in Smyrna, DE reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,512 residents. 10% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the New Castle County average of 44.1%.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units545
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$96,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
National
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Smyrna and the region
Centroid at 39.3745, -75.5758 · click any tract to drill in
Why Smyrna scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Smyrna
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,200 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smyrna
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smyrna
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smyrna
5.9
How Smyrna compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 8 yrs
- 8.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.5%Peak (2011)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 16Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.9%Food insecurity
- 20.3%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Smyrna
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,200, 22% below the Smyrna average.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 35 evictions over 8 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 11.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $96,063, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the New Castle County average of 4.2 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016904?
Census tract 10003016904 in Smyrna scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016904?
Median gross rent is $1,200/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016904?
8.8% of residents in tract 10003016904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,512.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 20th, minority 61th, housing 34th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003016904?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 10003016904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.62% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016904 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003016904 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003016904 compare to Smyrna overall?
Tract 10003016904 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Smyrna at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna
Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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