Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Smyrna Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016904 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,512 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Smyrna
Eviction risk in Smyrna eviction risk in New Castle County centers on tract 10003016904, which scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,512 residents. On the national scale it ranks #53,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 10% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,200 monthly, set against $96,063 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units545
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$96,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Smyrna and the region
Centroid at 39.3745, -75.5758 · click any tract to drill in
Why Smyrna scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Smyrna
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,200 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smyrna
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smyrna
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smyrna
5.9
How Smyrna compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 8 yrs
- 8.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.5%Peak (2011)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 16Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.9%Food insecurity
- 20.3%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Smyrna
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the New Castle County average of 5.7 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.52x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016904?
Census tract 10003016904 in Smyrna scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016904?
Median gross rent is $1,200/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016904?
8.8% of residents in tract 10003016904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,512.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 20th, minority 61th, housing 34th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003016904?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 10003016904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.62% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016904 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003016904 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003016904 compare to Smyrna overall?
Tract 10003016904 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Smyrna at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna
Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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