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Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Newark Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 10003014403 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,748 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Newark

Census tract 10003014403 covers part of Newark, DE, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 23% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,377
Renter share56.1%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$89,702

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 12 tracts In Newark
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Very High
National
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 39.6810, -75.7684 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newark scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,412 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
4.0

How Newark compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Newark risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0144034.4Newarkparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 934Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 12.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.3%Peak (2015)
  • 70Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 10003014403
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 351Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.57×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newark

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 44.1% across New Castle County. Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 934 filings here across 9 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,412, 15% below the Newark average.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when 16.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003014403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014403?

Census tract 10003014403 in Newark scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003014403?

Median gross rent is $1,412/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014403?

25.4% of residents in tract 10003014403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,748.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 38th, minority 59th, housing 74th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 934 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.17% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 10003014403 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 10003014403 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 10003014403 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 10003014403 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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