Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Waters Edge Eviction Risk: Lower , Bear
Tract 10003014813 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,887 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 10003014813 in the Waters Edge area of Newark, DE reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Against New Castle County at 44.1%, 26% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,397
Renter share43.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$95,856
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bear and the region
Centroid at 39.6351, -75.7645 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waters Edge scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bear
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,451 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bear
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bear
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bear
4.0
How Waters Edge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 332Total filings 2020-21
- 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 11.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waters Edge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.7%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waters Edge
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. At $1,451 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Newark commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the New Castle County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $95,856.
43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014813
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014813?
Census tract 10003014813 in the Waters Edge neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014813?
Median gross rent is $1,451/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014813?
5.8% of residents in tract 10003014813 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,887.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014813?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 18th, minority 76th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014813 considered part of Waters Edge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014813 fall within Waters Edge (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014813 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003014813 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003014813 compare to Bear overall?
Tract 10003014813 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bear at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bear
Top eight tracts in Bear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
10003014403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014501
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014502
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014404
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Academy Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014200
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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