Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Newark Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 10003014502 · New Castle County, DE · pop 6,842 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Newark
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 10003014502 in Newark, DE reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 65%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 63%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units826
Renter share80.6%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate62.9%
Median income$29,671
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 39.6726, -75.7440 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newark scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
62.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,698 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
4.0
How Newark compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 164Total filings over 9 yrs
- 2.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2013)
- 12Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 72Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.3%Food insecurity
- 33.0%SNAP enrollment
- 23.0%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 29.9%Frequent mental distress
- 40.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newark
about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the New Castle County average of 44.1%. Set annual rent against average income of $29,671 and the ratio lands at 69%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 63%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.4/10. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Court records carry 164 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. Housing insecurity runs 21.7% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2013 at 4.0% of renter households.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014502?
Census tract 10003014502 in Newark scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014502?
Median gross rent is $1,698/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014502?
62.9% of residents in tract 10003014502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,842.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 0th, minority 31th, housing 63th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 164 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.24% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003014502 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003014502 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 10003014502 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
10003014403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014501
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014404
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Academy Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014200
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Waters Edge
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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