Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Waters Edge Eviction Risk: Lower , Bear
Tract 10003014808 ·
New Castle County, DE · pop 6,446 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 10003014808 sits in the Waters Edge neighborhood of Bear eviction risk, Delaware eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #25,981 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,418 a month while the average household earns $82,207 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 16%Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,399
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$82,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Waters Edge
Very Low
Within parent city
50th percentile
#3 of 5 tracts In Bear
Moderate
Within county
46th percentile
#79 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Moderate
Within state
47th percentile
#139 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bear and the region
Centroid at 39.6182, -75.7297 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waters Edge scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bear
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,418 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bear
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bear
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bear
5.0
How Waters Edge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
57%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,001Total filings over 9 yrs
14.67%Avg annual filing rate
16.8%Peak (2018)
133Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2010 to 2018
Filings climbed 20% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
491Total filings 2020-21
6.4Avg monthly (observed)
13.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.48×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waters Edge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.6%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
9.1%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waters Edge
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.48x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014808
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014808?
Census tract 10003014808 in the Waters Edge neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014808?
Median gross rent is $1,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014808?
4.3% of residents in tract 10003014808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,446.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014808?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 43th, minority 76th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014808 considered part of Waters Edge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014808 fall within Waters Edge (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014808?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,001 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014808 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.67% of renter households, peaking at 16.8% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014808 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003014808 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003014808 compare to Bear overall?
Tract 10003014808 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Bear at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bear
Top eight tracts in Bear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.