Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
Bear Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016307 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,457 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Bear
The Moderate-tier score of 5.6/10 for census tract 10003016307 reflects conditions in Bear, Delaware. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Average household income is about $114,935 a year. Renters make up 0% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units965
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$114,935
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
National
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bear and the region
Centroid at 39.6189, -75.6553 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bear scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bear
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bear
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bear
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bear
5.0
How Bear compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 11Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bear
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.05x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016307
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016307?
Census tract 10003016307 in Bear scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016307?
3.5% of residents in tract 10003016307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,457.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016307?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 25th, minority 72th, housing 3th.
Q4
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016307 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q5
What share of households in tract 10003016307 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 10003016307 compare to Bear overall?
Tract 10003016307 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bear at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bear
Top eight tracts in Bear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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