Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Bear Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016307 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,457 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Bear
Tract 10003016307 sits in Bear eviction risk, DE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 2,457 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units965
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$114,935
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bear and the region
Centroid at 39.6189, -75.6553 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bear scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bear
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bear
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bear
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bear
5.0
How Bear compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 11Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bear
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. It sits 1.2 points below the New Castle County average of 4.2.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016307
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016307?
Census tract 10003016307 in Bear scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016307?
3.5% of residents in tract 10003016307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,457.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016307?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 25th, minority 72th, housing 3th.
Q4
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016307 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q5
What share of households in tract 10003016307 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 10003016307 compare to Bear overall?
Tract 10003016307 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Bear at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bear
Top eight tracts in Bear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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