Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Brandywine Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Edgemoor
Tract 10003010703 · New Castle County, DE · pop 1,861 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
10003010703 is a census tract in the Brandywine Hills area of Edgemoor, DE. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,861 residents. The severe-burden share is 59%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units764
Renter share30.8%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate29.7%
Median income$86,979
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Edgemoor and the region
Centroid at 39.7607, -75.5042 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brandywine Hills scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Edgemoor
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
29.7% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,492 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Edgemoor
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Edgemoor
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Edgemoor
5.0
How Brandywine Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 237Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.28×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.8%Food insecurity
- 16.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brandywine Hills
69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the New Castle County average of 44.1%. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.4/10. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,492, close to the Edgemoor average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $86,979. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003010703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003010703?
Census tract 10003010703 in the Brandywine Hills neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003010703?
Median gross rent is $1,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003010703?
29.7% of residents in tract 10003010703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,861.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003010703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 79th, minority 61th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 10003010703 considered part of Brandywine Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003010703 fall within Brandywine Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003010703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003010703 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003010703 compare to Edgemoor overall?
Tract 10003010703 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Edgemoor at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Edgemoor eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Edgemoor
Top eight tracts in Edgemoor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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