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Neighborhood · Elsmere, DE

Union Park Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,059 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

Union Park Gardens maps to a single census tract in Elsmere, DE and houses 4,059 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10. Court records for this tract carry 652 eviction filings.

Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.1/10. Filing activity peaked in 2018 at 27.2% of renter households. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 39% of renter households.

Judgments average 7.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Greenhill and St. Elizabeth Area score within a fraction of it.

Average gross rent runs $1,348, close to the Elsmere average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $75,434.

One tract means one number: 5.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Union Park Gardens vs Elsmere How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.8% +2%
Elsmere: 37.9%
Average gross rent
$1,348 +1%
Elsmere: $1,339
Average HH income
$75,434 -1%
Elsmere: $76,378
Poverty rate
20.1% +7%
Elsmere: 18.8%
Renter share
20.7% -40%
Elsmere: 34.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Union Park Gardens and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why Union Park Gardens scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
20.1% below poverty line · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Union Park Gardens vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Union Park Gardens score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7Union Park GardensNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Union Park Gardens

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
10003012400 5.7 4,059 39% $1,348
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Union Park Gardens

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 652Total filings (sum)
  • 17.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.2%Peak year (2018)
  • 27.20%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 583Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.6Avg monthly observed
  • 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.07×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Union Park Gardens

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Union Park Gardens

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Union Park Gardens?

Union Park Gardens scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Union Park Gardens compare to Elsmere overall?

Union Park Gardens scores 1.4 points higher than Elsmere overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $1,348 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Union Park Gardens?

Average gross rent in Union Park Gardens is $1,348/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Union Park Gardens residents are renters?

21% of Union Park Gardens households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Elsmere). The neighborhood has 4,059 residents.
Q5

Is Union Park Gardens a high social-vulnerability area?

Union Park Gardens sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Union Park Gardens for landlords?

Union Park Gardens carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Elsmere as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Union Park Gardens?

Union Park Gardens has 4,493 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.2%), Hispanic / Latino (38.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Union Park Gardens

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Elsmere

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Union Park Gardens.

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