Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016610 · New Castle County, DE · pop 6,890 · 84% of tract blocks fall in Middletown
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 10003016610 in Middletown in New Castle County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,890 residents. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 22% of renter households, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,745 a month against an average household income of $82,210 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units3,203
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$82,210
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4452, -75.7451 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,745 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
3.7
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 335Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.5%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the New Castle County average of 5.7 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016610
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016610?
Census tract 10003016610 in Middletown scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016610?
Median gross rent is $1,745/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016610?
11.6% of residents in tract 10003016610 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,890.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016610?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 92th, minority 66th, housing 32th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016610 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 10003016610 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 10003016610 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 10003016610 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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