Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016613 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,682
10003016613 is a census tract in Middletown, DE. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,682. roughly one in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the New Castle County average of 44.1%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,798
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$125,658
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4581, -75.7041 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,345 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
3.7
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 554Total filings 2020-21
- 7.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 11.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.9%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.5/10.
Average gross rent is $1,345, 15% below the Middletown average. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Against average income of $125,658, annual rent is just 13%.
Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016613
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016613?
Census tract 10003016613 in Middletown scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016613?
Median gross rent is $1,345/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016613?
5.2% of residents in tract 10003016613 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016613?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 100th, minority 73th, housing 70th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016613 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 10003016613 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 10003016613 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 10003016613 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Middletown at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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