Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016613 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,682
For landlords sizing up Middletown in New Castle County, census tract 10003016613 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of $1/10. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 25% of renter households, a moderate level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,345 monthly, set against $125,658 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,798
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$125,658
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
National
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4581, -75.7041 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,345 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
3.7
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 554Total filings 2020-21
- 7.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 11.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.9%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the New Castle County average of 5.7 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.60x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016613
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016613?
Census tract 10003016613 in Middletown scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016613?
Median gross rent is $1,345/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016613?
5.2% of residents in tract 10003016613 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016613?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 100th, minority 73th, housing 70th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016613 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 10003016613 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 10003016613 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 10003016613 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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