Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 10003016612 · New Castle County, DE · pop 6,655 · 39% of tract blocks fall in Middletown
Census tract 10003016612 covers part of Middletown, DE, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,655. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units2,616
Renter share1.0%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$157,225
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4806, -75.6911 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
3.7
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 40Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.58×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.8%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10.
36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the New Castle County average of 44.1%. It sits 1.2 points below the New Castle County average of 4.2. Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 1% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10.
Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016612
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016612?
Census tract 10003016612 in Middletown scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016612?
4.4% of residents in tract 10003016612 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,655.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016612?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 47th, minority 52th, housing 3th.
Q4
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016612 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q5
What share of households in tract 10003016612 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 10003016612 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 10003016612 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Middletown at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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