Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Newark Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 10003014403 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,748 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Newark
Census tract 10003014403 covers Newark, home to 3,748 residents. For landlords it grades 6.2/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 81st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,412 a month while the average household earns $89,702 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,377
Renter share56.1%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$89,702
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
National
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 39.6810, -75.7684 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newark scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,412 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
4.0
How Newark compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 934Total filings over 9 yrs
- 12.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.3%Peak (2015)
- 70Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 351Total filings 2020-21
- 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.3%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newark
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014403?
Census tract 10003014403 in Newark scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014403?
Median gross rent is $1,412/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014403?
25.4% of residents in tract 10003014403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,748.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 38th, minority 59th, housing 74th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 934 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.17% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003014403 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003014403 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 10003014403 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
10003014502
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014501
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014404
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Academy Hill
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014200
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · DE
Waters Edge
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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