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Neighborhood · Wilmington, DE

Harlan Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,738 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Harlan is a one-tract neighborhood of Wilmington, DE and houses 4,738 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 45%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

81% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Wilmington rate of 31.0%. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.2/10.

Court records for this tract carry 2,461 eviction filings. 14.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation is 24.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 34.6% of renter households. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10. Recent filings have not receded much: 30.4% in 2018 against a 34.6% peak.

That places it #16 of 20 neighborhoods in Wilmington. The closest comparables inside the same city are Southbridge and Riverfront.

Average gross rent runs $1,238, close to the Wilmington average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $48,150.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Harlan vs Wilmington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
80.9% +161%
Wilmington: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,238 +1%
Wilmington: $1,224
Average HH income
$48,150 -13%
Wilmington: $55,269
Poverty rate
8.8% -62%
Wilmington: 23.2%
Renter share
43.6% -16%
Wilmington: 52.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Harlan and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Harlan scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
81% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
8.8% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Harlan vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Harlan score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4HarlanNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Harlan

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
10003000200 5.4 4,738 81% $1,238
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 24%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Harlan

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,461Total filings (sum)
  • 31.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.6%Peak year (2015)
  • 30.43%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 799Total filings 2020-21
  • 10.4Avg monthly observed
  • 20.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.50×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Harlan

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Harlan

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Harlan?

Harlan scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Harlan compare to Wilmington overall?

Harlan scores 1.0 points higher than Wilmington overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 81% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,238 vs $1,224.
Q3

What is the average rent in Harlan?

Average gross rent in Harlan is $1,238/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Harlan residents are renters?

44% of Harlan households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Wilmington). The neighborhood has 4,738 residents.
Q5

Is Harlan a high social-vulnerability area?

Harlan sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Harlan for landlords?

Harlan carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wilmington as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Harlan?

Harlan has 4,992 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (69.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Harlan

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Wilmington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Harlan.

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