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Neighborhood · Wilmington, DE

Harlan Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,738 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Harlan is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Wilmington with 1 census tract and a population of 4,738 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 81% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 45% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,238/month sits 1% higher than the Wilmington citywide average ($1,224).

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Harlan vs Wilmington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
80.9% +161%
Wilmington: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,238 +1%
Wilmington: $1,224
Average HH income
$48,150 -13%
Wilmington: $55,269
Poverty rate
8.8% -62%
Wilmington: 23.2%
Renter share
43.6% -16%
Wilmington: 52.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Harlan and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Harlan scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
81% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
8.8% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Harlan vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Harlan score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Harlan: 5.15.1HarlanNeighborhoodParent city: 4.94.9Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Harlan

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
10003000200 5.1 4,738 81% $1,238
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 24%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Harlan

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,461Total filings (sum)
  • 31.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.6%Peak year (2015)
  • 30.43%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 799Total filings 2020-21
  • 10.4Avg monthly observed
  • 20.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.50×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Harlan

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Harlan

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Harlan?

Harlan scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Harlan compare to Wilmington overall?

Harlan scores 0.2 points higher than Wilmington overall (4.9/10). Renters spend 81% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,238 vs $1,224.
Q3

What is the average rent in Harlan?

Average gross rent in Harlan is $1,238/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Harlan residents are renters?

44% of Harlan households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Wilmington). The neighborhood has 4,738 residents.
Q5

Is Harlan a high social-vulnerability area?

Harlan sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Harlan for landlords?

Harlan carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wilmington as a whole (4.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Harlan?

Harlan has 4,992 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (69.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Harlan

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Wilmington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Harlan.

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