Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Harlan Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington
Tract 10003000200 · New Castle County, DE · pop 4,738 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 10003000200 covers part of the Harlan area of Wilmington, DE, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,738. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,173
Renter share43.6%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$48,150
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
21
th percentile
Low
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 39.7646, -75.5282 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harlan scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,238 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0
How Harlan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,461Total filings over 9 yrs
- 31.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.6%Peak (2015)
- 241Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 799Total filings 2020-21
- 10.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 20.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.8%Housing insecurity
- 14.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.2%Food insecurity
- 24.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 34.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Harlan
Cost burden runs 81% here against 44.1% across New Castle County. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.2/10.
Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. SNAP participation runs 24.2% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 2,461 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2015, when 34.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 31.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003000200?
Census tract 10003000200 in the Harlan neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003000200?
Median gross rent is $1,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003000200?
8.8% of residents in tract 10003000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,738.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 10th, minority 80th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 10003000200 considered part of Harlan?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003000200 fall within Harlan (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,461 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.75% of renter households, peaking at 34.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003000200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003000200 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 10003000200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
Price’s Run
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West 9th Street Commercial Historic District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Upper East Side
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
11th St. Bridge
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Delaware Avenue
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Riverside
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West Hill
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Cool Spring
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 10003000200
Parent city ↑
Wilmington
4.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
New Castle County
Parent state ↑
Delaware
Sibling tract →
Price’s Run
5.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
West 9th Street Commercial Historic District
5.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Upper East Side
5.8 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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