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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Riceland Eviction Risk: Lower , Gainesville

Tract 12001002219 · Alachua County, FL · pop 6,671 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

12001002219 is a census tract in the Riceland area of Gainesville, FL. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 31% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,767
Renter share66.1%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$62,359

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Riceland
Very Low
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#30 of 38 tracts In Gainesville
Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 58 tracts In Alachua County
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#3,121 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 29.6147, -82.4053 · click any tract to drill in

Why Riceland scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,424 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0

How Riceland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Riceland risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0022194.0Gainesvilleparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 661Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 5.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak (2016)
  • 86Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12001002219
Filings climbed 83% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 451Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.98×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Riceland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Riceland

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 661 filings here across 8 tracked years.

It sits 0.7 points below the Alachua County average of 4.1. At $1,424 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Gainesville commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12001002219

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001002219?

Census tract 12001002219 in the Riceland neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12001002219?

Median gross rent is $1,424/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12001002219?

10.1% of residents in tract 12001002219 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,671.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12001002219?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 37th, minority 70th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 12001002219 considered part of Riceland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001002219 fall within Riceland (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12001002219?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 661 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12001002219 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.57% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12001002219 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.98× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12001002219 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 12001002219 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Gainesville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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