South Idylwild Eviction Risk: Lower , Gainesville

At $2,209 a month, rents run 70% over what the rest of Gainesville commands. The voucher gap is 39.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Alachua County average of 50.9%. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Alachua County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Court records carry 29 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 8.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.