Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Duckpond Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville
Tract 12001000301 · Alachua County, FL · pop 4,034 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12001000301 in the Duckpond area of Gainesville, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,034 residents. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Alachua County average of 50.9%.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 49%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,855
Renter share77.0%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate32.0%
Median income$47,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gainesville and the region
Centroid at 29.6680, -82.3314 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duckpond scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.0% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$942 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0
How Duckpond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 329Total filings over 8 yrs
- 3.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2002)
- 38Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 295Total filings 2020-21
- 4.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.51×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Duckpond. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duckpond
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
At $942 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Gainesville commands. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Against the Alachua County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The filing record is not thin: 329 evictions over 8 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 6.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12001000301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001000301?
Census tract 12001000301 in the Duckpond neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12001000301?
Median gross rent is $942/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12001000301?
32.0% of residents in tract 12001000301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,034.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12001000301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 36th, minority 61th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 12001000301 considered part of Duckpond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001000301 fall within Duckpond (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12001000301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 329 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12001000301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.29% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12001000301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12001000301 compare to Gainesville overall?
Tract 12001000301 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville
Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Yulee Residential Area
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12001001400
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Daysville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Daysville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Idylwild
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12001000600
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Robinswood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Kincaid Hills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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