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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Yulee Residential Area Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 12001000202 · Alachua County, FL · pop 5,464 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

12001000202 is a census tract in the Yulee Residential Area area of Gainesville, FL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,464. 66% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 71% Stable renters 16% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,897
Renter share87.0%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate68.1%
Median income$17,609

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Yulee Residential Area
Moderate
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 38 tracts In Gainesville
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 58 tracts In Alachua County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 29.6462, -82.3330 · click any tract to drill in

Why Yulee Residential Area scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
68.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,173 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0

How Yulee Residential Area compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Yulee Residential Area risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0002024.0Gainesvilleparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 73Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Yulee Residential Area. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Yulee Residential Area

82% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Alachua County average of 50.9%. Annualized rent equals 80% of average household income of $17,609, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 68%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against the Alachua County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Average gross rent is $1,173, 9% below the Gainesville average. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12001000202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001000202?

Census tract 12001000202 in the Yulee Residential Area neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12001000202?

Median gross rent is $1,173/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12001000202?

68.1% of residents in tract 12001000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,464.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12001000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 0th, minority 51th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 12001000202 considered part of Yulee Residential Area?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001000202 fall within Yulee Residential Area (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12001000202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12001000202 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 12001000202 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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