Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Lynn Haven Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12005000402 · Bay, FL · pop 7,166 · 5% of tract blocks fall in Lynn Haven
Census tract 12005000402 covers part of Lynn Haven, FL, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,166. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,499
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$84,705
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
National
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynn Haven and the region
Centroid at 30.2807, -85.5705 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lynn Haven scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynn Haven
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,460 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynn Haven
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynn Haven
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynn Haven
5.7
How Lynn Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lynn Haven
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against Bay County at 54.8%, 47% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10.
That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Bay County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,460, close to the Lynn Haven average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $84,705.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12005000402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005000402?
Census tract 12005000402 in Lynn Haven scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12005000402?
Median gross rent is $1,460/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12005000402?
9.9% of residents in tract 12005000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,166.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12005000402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 82th, minority 21th, housing 33th.
Q5
How does tract 12005000402 compare to Lynn Haven overall?
Tract 12005000402 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Lynn Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynn Haven
Top eight tracts in Lynn Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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